utarchyWhat is Futarchy?
Futarchy is a form of government or decision-making system proposed by economist Robin Hanson. The core idea: "Vote on values, bet on beliefs."
Instead of voting directly on policies, people bet on prediction markets about which policies will best achieve agreed-upon goals. The policies that the market predicts will work best are then implemented.
How This Platform Works
This platform uses Manifold Markets to create prediction markets around important decisions. Anyone can create and participate in decisions.
- Create Decisions: Log in and create new decision markets for any choice you're facing
- Browse Decisions: See what decisions others are making
- Study the Markets: Each decision has related prediction markets comparing different options
- Make Your Bets: Use your Manifold account to bet on which option will lead to better outcomes
- Let Data Decide: Decisions are informed by aggregated market predictions
Privacy & Security
Your API key is safe: It's stored only in your browser's local storage and never sent to our servers. All betting happens directly between your browser and Manifold Markets.
This is currently a prototype. If it gains traction, we'll ask Manifold to implement proper OAuth authentication for better security.